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The Joy of Why

Will We Ever Find Alien Civilizations?

July 9, 202653 min · 9,736 words

Show notes

Does intelligent life exist elsewhere in the universe? The question has captivated us for centuries, but despite decades of searching it remains frustratingly unanswered. Every so often a curious signal appears — fossilized structures in a meteorite, say, or an unusual gas in an exoplanet’s atmosphere — and for a moment it seems possible that we are not alone before the excitement gives way to a more mundane explanation.

Highlighted moments

And so what we argued in this paper is that the actual number of extant, present-day civilizations out there ends up being dominated by purely the ratio of the birth and the death rate. That's it.
So you end up with there either being a very crowded universe or a very lonely universe. It's very difficult to get it intermediate.
So often we are tripped by what we don't know. It's not Percival Lowell's fault that he didn't know about those psychological biases because nobody had published on them yet.

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